Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.663213 3.900371 4.153868 4.446537 4.777100 5.141295 5.576264
2024-10-06 3.405864 3.733175 4.101886 4.553380 5.099109 5.748174 6.595957
2024-10-13 3.116797 3.490060 3.927435 4.488303 5.205147 6.116514 7.410734
2024-10-20 2.868517 3.268349 3.752381 4.398103 5.265553 6.439621 8.252759
2024-10-27 2.638319 3.047893 3.556925 4.258641 5.242579 6.651522 9.009810
2024-11-03 2.549626 2.995960 3.569178 4.393415 5.617235 7.514264 11.103018
2024-11-10 2.489362 2.974892 3.619393 4.587757 6.118157 8.719545 14.485434
2024-11-17 2.351749 2.840432 3.502931 4.527459 6.217095 9.287630 17.022256
2024-11-24 2.217412 2.701018 3.367886 4.423968 6.229782 9.712466 19.655691
2024-12-01 2.108666 2.589765 3.264289 4.358042 6.298699 10.287262 23.498406
2024-12-08 2.017328 2.497089 3.180561 4.314755 6.403412 10.994424 29.152357
2024-12-15 1.953242 2.439030 3.143651 4.344414 6.655169 12.179929 40.579513
2024-12-22 1.857237 2.338374 3.048289 4.289660 6.786348 13.317236 61.163403
2024-12-29 1.799424 2.290135 3.030693 4.371480 7.240446 15.849259 163.085225
2025-01-05 1.714171 2.195810 2.932692 4.295894 7.331475 17.361804 687.497189
2025-01-12 1.632773 2.102773 2.830080 4.200298 7.359002 18.775789 NaN
2025-01-19 1.550586 2.004279 2.711887 4.062040 7.252316 19.593067 NaN
2025-01-26 1.520088 1.983630 2.721546 4.177802 7.860161 25.368922 NaN
2025-02-02 1.499554 1.977104 2.754560 4.348217 8.716523 36.658256 NaN
2025-02-09 1.445014 1.913425 2.683252 4.287278 8.846428 43.031255 NaN
2025-02-16 1.389156 1.844957 2.599002 4.188288 8.824903 48.318417 NaN
2025-02-23 1.342354 1.789006 2.533616 4.124433 8.913772 57.386852 NaN
2025-03-02 1.301804 1.741374 2.480210 4.081904 9.074350 72.133528 NaN